BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Northwestern St
Class: 1B Class Rank: 65 Conference: Southland Conference Record: (4-5) Overall: (5-6) Overall Strength = 124.21
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 08/30/2018 Away L 121.40 7 59 1A 22 ( 8- 4) Texas A&M -2.56 * -49.44
2 09/08/2018 Home W 141.06 34 7 1B 95 ( 6- 5) Grambling St 17.10 9.90
3 09/15/2018 Away W * 131.61 49 48 1B 38 ( 7- 5) Lamar 7.66 -6.66
4 09/29/2018 Away L * 120.80 17 24 1B 67 ( 4- 7) SE Louisiana -3.16 -3.84
5 10/06/2018 Home L * 122.21 10 28 1B 12 ( 9- 4) Nicholls St -1.75 -16.25
6 10/13/2018 Home L * 112.97 28 42 1B 50 ( 6- 5) Sam Houston St -10.98 -3.02
7 10/20/2018 Away L * 112.53 17 38 1B 43 ( 6- 5) Central Arkansas -11.43 -9.57
8 10/27/2018 Home W * 109.91 31 28 1B 108 ( 1- 10) Houston Baptist -14.04 17.04
9 11/03/2018 Away L * 131.74 47 49 1B 42 ( 6- 5) Abilene Christian 7.79 -9.79
10 11/10/2018 Home W * 126.92 37 34 1B 60 ( 6- 5) McNeese St 2.97 0.03
11 11/15/2018 Away W * 132.35 35 23 1B 84 ( 2- 8) Stephen F. Austin 8.40 3.60
Averages 123.95 28.4 34.5
Best game: 141.06 = 27 point win over Grambling St
Worst game: 109.91 = 3 point win over Houston Baptist
Team stdev: 9.79